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months had declined more than expected consistent with seasonal patterns. As the ruble weakened, growth in prices for goods that are highly sensitive to the

days "fine-tuning" 1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 12 months Ruble leg FX leg** 1 day 7 days 30 days from 2 to

sell FX swaps were discontinued from April, 2022; interest rate is on ruble leg, from 01.01.2022 interest rate on USD leg is equal

160 Rosstat, authors’ calculations thousand rubles, 2021, per quarter GRP per capita in other regions, 213 Rosstat, authors’ calculations thousand rubles, 2021, per quarter Ratio

associated with lower exports and higher imports, including due to a stronger ruble. I will now speak of risks. Overall, proinflationary risks prevail over the

6–11 7–12 7–12 Claims on organisations and households in rubles and foreign currency3 9.5 6–10 6–11 8–13 8