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growth is assumed to be of a temporary nature, the Bank of Rus-
sia may cut the key rate in the periods after the deficit
of a U.S.
monetary policy shock on ruble-denominated credit growth in Rus-
sia through the foreign liabilities channel
sample MP1 FF4 MP1 + FF4
2000Q1-2018Q1
sustainable negative effect on our real-time assessment of business activity in the Rus-
sian economy.
It is also noteworthy that we have found several other
454
17.12.2018
Centre (JSC)
3466
80.
ICBC Bank (JSC)
3475
81.
JSC Sumitomo Mitsui Rus Bank
3494
The Kaluga Region
82.
JSC Gazenergobank, the city of Kaluga
Deryugina (2018).
The relationship between government revenue and spending multipliers in the Rus-
sian economy seems to stem from the relatively low efficiency of budget
MOEX index falling 5% and the
Country risk premium. As of month-end, Rus-
MSCI Russia index dropping 5.3%. Stock markets of
sia’s CDS
on Bank of Russia
ity surplus declined slightly as the Bank of Rus- standing lending facilities secured by non-
sia suspended fiscal rule-based foreign currency
458
20.11.2018
Centre (JSC)
3466
82.
ICBC Bank (JSC)
3475
83.
JSC Sumitomo Mitsui Rus Bank
3494
The Kaluga Region
84.
JSC Gazenergobank, the city of Kaluga
economy’s growth, which the absolute majority of major countries, except for Rus-
sia, experienced in September.
Figure 37. September’s Composite PMI and its
on the calculation methodology and other data groupings see Consumer lending in Rus-
sia: prospects and risks based on household finance survey.
18
It stands