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the key rate meeting on 25 April 2025, the forecast has been
changed as follows.
Key rate. The forecast range of the average key rate
INFLATION RISKS 9
................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
CONCLUSIONS FOR MONETARY POLICY
AND THE KEY RATE DECISION .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Summary of the Key Rate Discussion
2
ECONOMIC SITUATION AND INFLATION
MAIN
343
18.08.2025
overall since the previous key rate meeting, while remaining restrictive.
Price monetary conditions became less tight in nominal terms. Following the key rate cut in
made for them. Accrued interest receivable/ The Bank of Russia key rate (hereinafter, the key rate) is an
payable is included in related type of
accordance with the international classification,1 CBDCs can be divided
into two key types, specifically retail and wholesale CBDC models.
The retail model features a
346
06.08.2025
Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 200 bp to 18.00% per annum. Further key rate decisions will depend on the
Republic, the
Zaporozhye Region, and the Kherson Region.
CONTENTS
Russian Federation ............................................................................ 6
Key trends in Russian regions ........................................................... 7
Core economic indicators .................................................................. 8
Inflation in Russian
fuels and
lubricants, utility services, as well as higher labour costs as key contributing factors. Contrastingly, the
estimates of both current and future demand continued
349
31.07.2025
The Bank of Russia’s Medium-term Forecast Following the Board Of Directors’ Key Rate Meeting on 25 July 2025.
5 In April, the Bank of
most representative sample in Russia. On average, about 15,000
enterprises of key types of economic activity took part in the surveys every month in