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Bank FC Otkritie (merged with B&N Bank) provided to three banking 2 Promsvyazbank groups (Otkritie, B&N, 3 National Bank TRUST (with ROST Bank

Source: Bank of Russia calculations. Source: Bank of Russia. Vulnerability 4. The growing Therefore, the Bank of Russia is considering concentration of the banks’ loan

Bank of Russia Balances of extra-budgetary funds with the Bank of Russia Balances of the federal budget with banks Balances of local authorities with banks

May 2019. Sources: Rosstat, Bank of Russia calculations. Inflation forecast Change in regional distribution of inflation Chart 8 According to the Bank of Russia forecast,

with the baseline forecast of the Bank of Russia When making its decision to cut the key rate, the Bank of Russia considered the following

0.6 1 Excluding fruit and vegetables. Note. Tables 1-7 – Rosstat data, Bank of Russia calculations. Consumer price indices 2 No. 6 (192) June 2019

Bank of Russia website: www.cbr.ru © Central Bank of the Russian Federation 2019 Contents Statement by Bank of Russia Governor Elvira Nabiullina .................................... 2 BANK

Insignificant Credit: Increase Q1-Q5 Commercial Commercial Banks: Banks: Financing: Commercial Commercial Money Commercial Banks: Financing: Private: Banks: Credits: Banks: Supply M2 Credits: Mortgage Private Direct:

Q1 (Chart 7). BLOOMBERG ANALYSTS’ CONSENSUS FORECAST Chart 7 Bank of Russia forecast % According to the Bank of Russia’s forecast, annual inflation will stand

Policy Department. Cover photo: Shutterstock.com. 12 Neglinnaya Street, Moscow 107016 Bank of Russia website: www.cbr.ru © Central Bank of the Russian Federation 2019