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211
22.08.2025
future key rate decisions, while still keeping the key rate unchanged. In June 2023, the Bank of Russia admitted the possibility of a key rate
212
22.08.2025
foreign currency and exporters’ supply of foreign currency.
Key rate and communication as monetary policy instruments
The key rate is the interest rate on main
of Russia key rate
Source: Bank of Russia calculations.
SPREAD BETWEEN RUONIA AND KEY RATE WIDENED IN JULY DUE TO EXPECTATIONS OF KEY RATE CUT
the key rate meeting on 25 April 2025, the forecast has been
changed as follows.
Key rate. The forecast range of the average key rate
INFLATION RISKS 9
................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
CONCLUSIONS FOR MONETARY POLICY
AND THE KEY RATE DECISION .......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Summary of the Key Rate Discussion
2
ECONOMIC SITUATION AND INFLATION
MAIN
216
18.08.2025
overall since the previous key rate meeting, while remaining restrictive.
Price monetary conditions became less tight in nominal terms. Following the key rate cut in
made for them. Accrued interest receivable/ The Bank of Russia key rate (hereinafter, the key rate) is an
payable is included in related type of
accordance with the international classification,1 CBDCs can be divided
into two key types, specifically retail and wholesale CBDC models.
The retail model features a
219
06.08.2025
Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 200 bp to 18.00% per annum. Further key rate decisions will depend on the
Republic, the
Zaporozhye Region, and the Kherson Region.
CONTENTS
Russian Federation ............................................................................ 6
Key trends in Russian regions ........................................................... 7
Core economic indicators .................................................................. 8
Inflation in Russian