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If Bank of Russia key rate as of
reporting date > 9,5, then
(9,5+ (Bank of Russia key rate as of
reporting date
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at the level of previous months.
Deposit rates went down following gradual key rate cuts. Lending to the economy contracted in January, driven by the
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for money market exchange-traded funds continuing to generate high returns despite the key rate reduction.
The inflow into UIFs and their positive returns were the
economy
* Including NPISH
Financial corporations
Despite the tightening of monetary policy and key rate increase during the year from 16.0% to 21.0%,
lending
following the key rate meeting on 24 October 2025, the forecast has
been changed as follows.
Key rate. The range of the average key rate
INFLATION RISKS ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 9
CONCLUSIONS FOR MONETARY POLICY
AND THE KEY RATE DECISION ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Summary of the Key Rate Discussion
2
ECONOMIC SITUATION AND INFLATION
MAIN
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considered the following two alternatives:
• keeping the key rate unchanged at 16.00% per annum; or
• cutting the key rate by 50 bp to 15.
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in the market as of the end of 2025 are available in the Review of Key Indicators of Insurers.
Preview photo: Arsenii Palivoda / Shutterstock / Fotodom
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Telegram
OFZ yields declined month on month, as the regulator cut the key rate and adopted a more dovish tone when announcing its further steps.
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from 30% to 25%.
More details are available in the Review of Key Indicators of Brokers for 2025 Q4.
Preview photo: Bento Orlando / Shutterstock / Fotodom