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Bank of Russia’s medium-term forecast
following the Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting on 21 July 2023
Key forecast parameters of
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21.07.2023
admit the possibility of a further increase in the key rate. The percentage of a possible key rate increase will depend on how significantly incoming
rates and yields in the key market segments, while lower ones stimulate them. In addition
influencing each other (the key rate has a direct to
made for them. Accrued interest receivable/ The Bank of Russia key rate (hereinafter, the key rate) is an
payable is included in related type of
and financial institutions in 2019–2021,
the Bank of Russia implemented four key objectives set in the Guidelines for the Advancement of
Information Security in
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12.07.2023
Bank of Russia’s draft regulation on the digital ruble is a key document for its introduction. It stipulates the main rules for communication between
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11.07.2023
and changes in market participants’ expectations regarding the future path of the key rate.
In May, the increase in households’ funds in ruble accounts with
1+ (1+
where is the persistence of the key rate's dynamics; denotes the coefficient of
the key rate response to the expected annual inflation;
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05.07.2023
at a less conservative level — it was raised from 20% to 50%.
Key changes in the revised draft regulations also included the procedure for determining
and consists of convolutional, recurrent, and fully connected
layers.5 The three key differences are 1) the use of one-directional recurrent blocks to avoid ‘looking