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11
08.09.2026
low inflation.
Key rate
Since 27.07.2026
14.00%
Inflation
July 2026
6.0%
Inflation target
4.0%
The Bank of Russia maintains inflation
14
hold near 4% thereafter
2
Inflation expectations remain elevated
Household’s inflation expectations, observed inflation and inflation, YoY
Households’ inflation expectations fell to 9.1
15
upcoming meetings
1
Inflation
is close to 4%
Inflation and BoR key rate, YoY
In September, annual inflation stood at 3.7%. Inflation processes are
16
1
Inflation slowdown
is still overshooting the forecast
Inflation and BoR key rate, YoY
In January, annual inflation declined to 2.4%. The inflation slowdown
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Elevated inflationary pressure is becoming increasingly persistent
Inflation (% YoY) and the Bank of Russia key rate (% p.a.)
Inflation is evolving appreciably above the October
18
temporary.
Inflation trends are expected to reverse in the middle of the year. Annualised monthly inflation will begin to go down, although annual inflation will
19
inflation will be returning to around 4%
2
Household inflation expectations decline but stay above the 2018 lows
Household inflation expectations and inflation, YoY
Inflation
20
reflects the monetary nature of inflation.
Annual inflation will plateau close to Q1 values until the middle of the year. Inflation forecast for the end